First of all, I want to state outright and loudly: Marine LePen CAN win the French presidency. I know even voices who are supportive of LePen have been less than enthusiastic about her chances to overtake establishment construct and certified weirdo Emmanuel Macron in the runoff election, based upon poll numbers and her performance in the first round election. Well, take your negativity and bet-hedging and cram it, it ain’t over ’til it’s over–and LePen is gaining ground. Not sure if the extra ballots sent out to voters living abroad are still a factor or if that was just for the first go-around, or if the “pause the count so we can find more Macron votes” stratagem that was eerily reminiscent of the hour-plus lull in the vote tally on election night in the USA foreshadows some monkey business to come. Fight until the end, folks.
But before we even get to that point, let’s not have any delusions about what a LePen win OR loss will mean. Earlier this year, a similar nationalist candidate, Geert Wilders, ran on the wave of Brexit and Trump in the Netherlands, and while his party managed to achieve gains in the Dutch government, he didn’t pull off the same winner-take-all victory that happened in the UK and the USA. However, given how the Dutch government operates, this was never really in the cards for Wilders, not this time around anyway. I’m not well versed enough in the workings of Dutch politics but I will link a video by Sargon of Akkad that explains it a bit better. When Wilders did not effectively run a palace coup, I don’t recall there being an avalanche of cheers and applause from the globalist left hailing his defeat as the end of the era of Farage and Trump, maybe for this very reason. If they’re not crowing about it, they really have to know they don’t have anything to crow over.
By contrast, if LePen does not pull out a win this week, it won’t be the complexity of the political system that derailed her, not entirely anyway. It does look like France’s multiparty system has resulted in every arm of the establishment ganging up on Marine LePen, but the winner will be much more clear-cut than in the Netherlands. LePen’s obstacle is not the system so much as it is the battlefield itself. She has drawn some mild criticism from conservative types abroad for being very socialistic, but that’s just another symptom of the environment she exists in (if Karl Marx and Vladimir Lenin were dropped into a world full of Star Trek’s Borg, they’d look like anticollectivists by comparison, unless of course the whole computerized hive-mind thing struck them as a swell idea and got them to join up). It’s France, the country where they still are kinda proud of the part of their history where they came up with a device specifically designed to cut the heads off kings, princesses, and rich people. The country where their traditions include drinking wine by the barrel, consuming massive quantities of soft aromatic possibly-toxic cheese, fornicating with anything that moves, surrendering, and not working anything resembling a normal work week. You’re not likely to go full Reagan in one jump even under the best circumstances.
And circumstances are reminding us that this does remain very decidedly France. Following the first round of elections, the peons and youths and other useful idiots celebrated another French tradition of going out, throwing up barricades in the streets of Paris, throwing rocks and smoke bombs and other projectiles indiscriminately and immolating police officers with Molotov cocktails. And LePen hasn’t even won yet.
If Marine LePen goes down to defeat, it will not mean that nationalism, Brexit-ism, and Trump-ism are on the wane and the EU is getting its second wind. It may be sold as such but it will not be so, as anyone with an ounce of sense can see. France is so deeply mired in socialism and liberalism that it’s a wonder, a bright shining moment in history that LePen has gotten as far as she has, and if she does not make it all the way, the real story will not be that she lost, but that she very nearly won. A loss means nothing because it changes nothing.
But if she WINS…and she CAN win…THAT, my friends, changes everything.
Sargon of Akkad on Wilders: